https://tapol.org/publications/tapol-september-november-quarterly-update
28 November 2025
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As Indonesia marked its 80th birthday with much fanfare, pomp and ceremony, it has been clear that the country sits at an uncomfortable crossroads, with underlying challenges further buffeting Prabowo’s year in office. Mass protests exploded across the country, calling out the hypocrisy of the political elite, the worsening economic situation and then security force violence. This culminated in the death of motorbike delivery driver Affan Kurniawan, which led to an outpouring of grief and rage and then mass arrests of civil society actors. Internationally, Indonesia has been trying to flex its muscles to present an intermediate path in the Israel-Palestine conflict, but its intervention at an event during the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva shows its complete lack of sympathy for international understandings of indigenous peoples and their fight for recognition. This continues to be made manifest in the Indonesian government’s policy in West Papua, with prisoner transfers and expanding food estates showing the Government’s desire to pacify and make economic gains in the region at the expense of the actual welfare of the people.
Mass Protests
The protests in August drew some comparisons to the 1998 mass protests and extended to every region in Indonesia. It resonated with the public’s worry about the Government’s strict austerity programme, the cutting of state subsidies and parliament increasing the housing allowance for its members. The protests then escalated across the country as a response to the murder of motorcycle delivery driver, Affan Kurniawan, who was run over by a tactical police car as he was trying to make a delivery during some of the initial protests.
Within a few days, riotous acts had also occurred in some of the big cities. Mobs targeted the houses of government ministers and the local parliament building in Makassar was burnt down and led to the deaths of those trapped inside. More than 3,000 people including prominent young pro-democracy activists were arrested, on charges of inciting violence in riots, among others. At least 11 people died.
Compared to other countries in the region like Nepal, where protests kept going until the government had been toppled, the momentum of protests has since died down in Indonesia. It was more spontaneous in Indonesia and it was not led by any political party. In some cases, the riots and attacks were aided and abetted by the military, with plainclothes personnel arrested, doing nothing to stop the riots, and in one case, handing out drinks and cash to those taking part in the rioting.
The uprising and riots have exposed internal conflicts within Prabowo’s inner circle. These are mainly between civilian politicians, like Dasco Ahmad, Prabowo’s right-hand man for political affairs in Gerindra, and those from the military, such as Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin, Prabowo’s old aide who is now Minister of Defence, and with a history of human rights violations in Aceh, East Timor and Jakarta. In addition to this political dimension, there is also the conflict between police and military, with the military pushing for speedier prosecutions.
Beyond this power struggle, the underlying cause of the protests is a series of long-term issues, so there would only need to be a further spark for it to rekindle into a mass movement, like that which toppled Suharto. The government response is not addressing the core problem. The cabinet was reshuffled, including moving some infamous ministers in corruption cases, but economic policy has remained the same. There has been a discrepancy between independent observations and government reports in the health of the economy. Government figures claimed ongoing economic development hit the highest ever-record of six per cent, while economists say four per cent, and the unemployment rate was also claimed to be the lowest in 20 years. This has not resonated with people’s felt reality.
Prabowo’s first anniversary highlights contradictory, increasingly authoritarian, policies
20th October 2025 marked the first year of Prabowo’s administration. There’s been a noticeable attempt to keep in balance both populist policies and consolidating the repressive tools of militarism, or Prabowo’s desire for a powerful state and a desire to be liked. Like in his response to protests, Prabowo has been keen to try and sugarcoat a more hardline policy with gimmicks designed to appease people.
In stark contrast to the granting of amnesty for Papuan political prisoners we covered in the June-August Update (which is available on our website), four Papuan political prisoners were sentenced to seven months in prison for treason on 19th November, then released on the 23rd, having already served their time in pre-trial custody. Known as the Sorong Four, these members of the Federal Republic of West Papua (Negara Federal Republik Papua Barat – NFRPB) had been arrested whilst distributing leaflets calling for peace in several government departments, and then were accused of treason, before being transferred from Sorong to Makassar for the trial and sentencing, violating their human rights (Full background in our statement from August). The case received a lot of attention due to vocal support for the prisoners, leading to the arrest of at least 23 people, one shot and dispersals when they were transferred from Sorong to Makassar, and more on the day of the indictment.
One example of mixing gimmicks with Prabowo’s attempts to re-write history has been the declaration of former President Suharto as a national hero of Indonesia on 10th November. Despite shadows over his regime, including the mass killings of 1965 and 1966, invasion of Timor-Leste, and repression and crony capitalism, the declaration indicates the desire of his former son-in-law, President Prabowo Subianto to emulate the New Order in his own government. Protestors have called the declaration a ‘distortion of history’. It has also been sugarcoated with the simultaneous declaration of former Reformasi-era President Abdurahman Wahid (also known as Gus Dur) and labour activist Marsinah as national heroes. This is despite the fact that both faced repression from Suharto’s government, with the latter even being murdered by his regime.
Finally, in late September, two ministers (the Coordinating Minister for Food Affairs and Minister of Agrarian Affairs and Spatial Planning) designated 481 thousand hectares of land in Merauke Regency (Papua Selatan Province) for a Food Estate project. It was claimed that this had been done in line with the national food resilience program, one of President Prabowo’s priority policies. The Ministers also said that the land belonged to the state and not to local indigenous peoples. However, the designation was fiercely resisted by the indigenous communities of the area, and started a string of protests.
Indonesia’s fundamental misunderstanding on the UN and indigenous peoples
On 22nd September, Indonesia voted in support of the two-state solution for Israel and Palestine at the UN General Assembly, where the motion was passed. However, Indonesia did not condemn the genocide and war crimes committed by the Israeli Government. Indonesia has historically supported Palestine, but Prabowo seems to be softer on Israel than previous administrations. His stance towards Donald Trump’s government is also friendly, as can be seen from a leaked personal chat at a conference in Egypt with Trump where he asked for access to Trump’s sons for business reasons.
On the same day as the General Assembly vote, an event was held at the United Nations in Geneva (the full recording of which is accessible online), on indigenous rights in Indonesia. The Indonesian representative defended the National Strategic Projects (PSNs), claiming that the relevant customary law communities were consulted, and boasted about recognition of customary territory and economic growth from the projects. However, what was very enlightening was the following statement:
‘The term Indigenous peoples… simply cannot be applied and more than semantic hurdles [exist], simply due to our country’s unique history of colonialism and anthropological context [sic]’
Referencing his visit to West Papua in July, the UN Special Rapporteur for Indigenous Rights, Albert Barume, noted that the biggest issues highlighted in his consultation with indigenous groups was the ‘lack of recognition of indigenous people’. This, as Barume pointed out, is an issue that is widespread among Asian and African states. Indigenous peoples have faced injustices grounded in historic and continuing perceptions that they are uncivilised, savage and not modern, so are forced to abandon their culture and way of life. Indigenous peoples and groups have suffered degrading and dehumanising acts including forced assimilation by states that refuse to recognise them.
West Papua continues to be hidden away from international scrutiny, pointing to a lack of desire by the Indonesian government to recognise indigenous rights. The stalling of the full legal recognition of indigenous peoples in Indonesia for more than a decade in Parliament shows that this is not being taken seriously by the Government.
Due to this approach and mindset, indigenous groups face gastrocolonialism, involving a forced change of diet from indigenous to foreign foods, land dispossession and a lack of recognition. Their land has been cleared for the Food Estate in Merauke. The Indonesian government’s repeating of the same lines regarding economic opportunity shows this fundamental disconnect in clear relief.
The Indonesian government needs to update their view of indigenous peoples and groups so that it aligns with international standards, and not hide behind claims of exceptions to duties.
Other Big Stories
- On 23rd September, the EU and Indonesia signed the Indonesia-European Union Comprehensive Economic Partnership (IEU-CEPA), covering trade, investment, environmental protection and sustainability, after almost a decade of negotiations. Primarily, many tariffs on Indonesian goods entering the EU have been slashed. This creates an opening for EU companies to invest in Indonesia. Despite all the positive pronouncements by the Indonesian government that it would add US$2.8 billion to the Indonesian economy and five million jobs, serious concerns have been raised as to how this will lead to an expansion of palm oil plantations and the increase in its products sold on the European market
- On 6th August, the local Papua Province Election Commission (KPU Papua) repeated elections for Governor and Vice Governor of Papua Province, on the Constitutional Court’s (MK) order. This followed the posthumous disqualification of the victorious Vice Governor. The result was that the losing candidates (Mathius Fakhiri and Aryoko Rumaropen) in the first gubernatorial election won in the rerun. The result was upheld by the Constitutional Court’s decision in mid-September. During the campaign in Papua Province, there were reports of hate speech based on religion and ethnicity made by one of the sides; and allegations by the other side that public servants and police officials had been illegally mobilised. It was a close election, as the winning side only won by about 3,000 votes. Matthias was a former chief of police and was the candidate for Prabowo’s coalition, and was alleged by national news publications to have received support from the current provincial Chief of Police as well as public servants, including the previous acting Governor. Meanwhile, the other candidate was a former mayor of Jayapura, and was indigenous to the city, so received support from Papuan groups and support from the largest Protestant church. The campaign had been marred by reported political interference and hate speech, with the final winner being a Muslim convert, for the first time in Papuan history.
- In mid-September, media reported that the Australian Federal Police (AFP) had arrested two men and charged them with the trafficking of ammunition and firearms from Australia to the armed pro-Papua independence group, the West Papua National Liberation Army (TPNPB, Tentara Pembebasan Nasional Papua Barat). The criminal investigation was initiated jointly with the New Zealand authorities as the result of the TPNPB’s hostage taking of New Zealand pilot Philip Mehrtens. One of the suspects is Australian, whilst the other is a New Zealander.
- In NGO news, Pusaka held a public discussion at Taman Ismail Marzuki, Jakarta, titled ‘Setahun Rezim Perang’ (A year of war regime) on 7th November 2025. During the first year of Prabowo’s presidency, three companies have continuously destroyed the indigenous landscape of West Papua, causing a total of 31,508 hectares of damage. Meanwhile, a group of Papuan women, together with the Indonesian Legal Aid Foundation desk in Papua, launched a working group on 8th November 2025 in Jakarta. The rationale behind it stems from the numerous cases of human rights violations, particularly against women and children, that have occurred in Papua since 1963 and which continue to this day. In addition, other conditions such as the victims of PSN in Merauke and Maybrat have led to internal displacement on their own land.
TAPOL Publications
- TAPOL Statement: The Supreme Court Must Halt the Transfer of Four Political Prisoners from Sorong to Makassar
- Papuans Behind Bars: Quarterly Update April–June 2025
- Papuans Behind Bars: Quarterly Update July-September 2025
Further Links
- Centre for Climate Crime and Climate Justice at Queen Mary University of London releases a report, ‘Bringing it All Back Home: The Role of British Companies in the Destruction of West Papua’.
- Pusaka press release, ‘Condemning the Serakahnomics Project Policy and the Tolerance of Human Rights and Environmental Violations in the Merauke National Strategic Project (PSN)’ (English translation)
- Pusaka report on the first year of the Prabowo-Gibran government, ‘The First Year of the Prabowo-Gibran War Regime’ (English translation in second half of document)
- Mongabay covers reopening of Raja Ampat nickel mine, despite concerns of environmental damage caused by the site.
- The Kurawal Foundation launches report, ‘Democracy under Prabowo-Gibran: Year One’
- Human Rights Monitor releases Q3 Report on human rights and conflict developments in West Papua.
- Human Rights Monitor also releases update on the situation of Internally Displaced Peoples (IDPs) in West Papua, covering developments during October.
- Human Rights Monitor’s Andrew de Sousa interviewed in a podcast regarding the recent trade deal organised between Indonesia and the EU and the situation in West Papua.
- Academic Paper released by researchers at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand, on ‘Predatory Mining, Conflict and Political Spaces: The Case of Grasberg Mine in West Papua’
- Unrepresented Nations and Peoples’ Organisation (UNPO) Academy releases an article covering the history of independence struggles in West Papua, Aceh and the South Moluccas.
- Early Warning Project release a report looking at ‘Major Developments and Worsening Risks for Mass Atrocities in Papua, Indonesia’.


